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Model Projection
Once you have created a projection with one or several cadres, you can generate a graphical model of the projection. The model graphs the changes in the actual health workforce as compared to the changes in needed health workers to serve the population over the duration of the projection. The actual workforce is calculated based on the pool changes you entered applied to the supply. The needed number of health workers is calculated based on a ratio of health workers to population, calculated from the initial target and population you set. The annual salary and other costs are graphed separately.
1. With the projection open, click Model Projections in the navigational menu on the left side of the screen.
2. A list of all cadre pools created for the projection is displayed. Select the cadres to model. (Select more than one cadre by holding down the CTRL key while clicking each cadre's name.)
Note: You can also click Model Projections beside the name of any cadre pool in the projection. This will create a model just for that cadre.
3. Click the View button to display the projection.
4. The projected health workforce supply and needs is displayed. The needs graph is red, and the supply graph is blue. Over time, you can clearly see how close the projected supply will be to meeting the projected needs, based on the pool changes you entered. The annual costs display just beneath the projected workforce.
Below the graph, all of the projection and costs data are displayed in a table. Note that actual data you entered (as opposed to projected numbers) are indicated by an asterisk (*).
You can disable any of the pool changes to see the effect on the projection by clicking the checkbox next to the pool change data in the tabular display. Then click the Update button to redraw the graph. You will see the changed workforce supply graphed in blue, while the original supply remains as a green line for easier comparison.